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College
Football Rankings - Top 35
by Gregory
Cox
College
Football Director
10/23/09
Ranking teams can be such
fun. It is
ultimately pointless though. Now that the BCS rankings are out everyone
can
scream about how unfair the system is. They are right of course. It
rewards
scheduling terrible opponents and uses computers for one-third of the
equation.
Why not start playing games on the SyFy channel? When nerds with
logarithms are
deciding which teams are the best I think we have a problem. Most
people don’t
mind the computers. Some gripe about the comical list of Harris Poll
voters who
replaced the (mostly) ethical AP voters when that group pulled out of
this
ridiculous process. However, all college football fans agree this
system
stinks. I’m bothered only because I feel for devoted fans of teams
annually
jilted. All I can do is rank the teams as I see fit based on how they
perform
on the field. For this week, here is what I see. Any comments are
welcome: greg@thefootballexpert.com.
Remember,
it’s just rankings. At the end of each blurb I’ll reference the AP, USA, Harris, BCS, Yahoo
blogger Hinton
(W=waiting) and finally Rivals 120 rankings. Have I gone mad? Long ago,
but I
like to give everyone reading plenty of other sources to compare my
rankings
to. Enjoy.
#1 (1)
Florida (6-0): Their win against Arkansas was typical of a team
marching
towards perfection. Breaks need to go your way. Officials have been
suspended for
an awful call that certainly helped the Gators. I’m looking at the
bottom line
though, which is another win. Their defense is stout. Tebow is human
when
forced to pass the ball. I’m starting to think a certain ex-coach of
theirs is
ready to spoil the repeat on November 14. (2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2)
#2 (2)
Alabama (7-0): I’m being a little stubborn
keeping them out of the top spot. What’s the difference though really?
After
steamrolling everyone in their path this team should be considered the
favorite
to win the BCS title. I’m already skipping over the SEC showdown with Florida. There are speed bumps
left even
before facing the Gators (who have almost clinched the East) but of all
the
undefeated contenders it would surprise me most if they lose. (1, 2, 2,
2, 1,
1)
#3 (3)
Texas (6-0): There are always major
upsets in college football and that is why we all watch. Many, myself
not
included, thought Oklahoma would pull one last week
in the Red
River Rivalry. The Longhorns squeezed out the 16-13 win, but in the
process
showed their warts. Can this team really finish 13-0? I’m not sure I
can answer
that question right now. The main reason is because their wimp of a
head coach
Mack Brown has given them such a weak schedule. Incredibly, as of
October 23
the only true road game this team will have played is at Wyoming. Wyoming! To date it is their
only game
outside of Texas. Two real road games are
on deck.
We’ll see if they are up for it. (3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 3)
#4 (4)
Boise State (6-0): I think the BCS standings
vindicated me ranking this team so high (#3) before the season even
started and
for the most part keeping them towards the top. They win all their
games, and
that’s what it takes in the current system. I would love to see them
play a
non-conference schedule of only “Big Six” opponents, but it takes two
to tango.
Few teams are willing to play on the blue turf and that makes it
difficult to
schedule a series. For now, winning at Tulsa 28-21 is almost a black
eye
considering Oklahoma smoked the Golden
Hurricane 45-0
with Landry Jones at quarterback. (6, 5, 5, 4, 5, 8)
#5 (5) Cincinnati (6-0): I felt
pretty good about having this team #17 in my preseason rankings until
hearing
Craig James had them #12. Kudos to him for the foresight, and
ironically now
that the rest of the voting world has come around to join us
quarterback Tony
Pike gets hurt – again. All might not be lost because Zach Collaros
adds a
rushing threat to the equation. His touchdown run of 75 yards flat out
won the
game at South Florida. If a playoff was in
place the team
could take their chances with the backup, allowing Pike to heal at his
own
pace, perhaps drop a Big East game and still win the conference
championship.
The dilemma for them is that now a BCS title appearance might be on the
line
and any loss would drop them out of the running. (5, 6, 6, 5, 6, 6)
#6 (6) TCU (6-0): Just when people
were starting to wonder about the Horned Frogs they pulled away from
Colorado
State big time in a 44-6 win. It was important to look impressive the
week the
BCS standings were released and they did. Now it’s all on the line this
week at
BYU. Even if Virginia and Clemson do fairly well in the ACC, this is
the result
everyone doubting TCU wants to see. (10, 7, 8, 8, 11, 7)
#7 (7)
Iowa (7-0): Is it ever easy for the
Hawkeyes? I have probably said that several times. The latest example
is
falling behind 10-0 at Wisconsin. All of the doubters
were ready to
pounce and chant “overrated” at the top of their lungs. Then the
defense took
over, as usual. How about 31 plays for 76 yards? That covers the final
8
possessions for the Badgers. The Big Ten hasn’t been this wide open for
years
and they are in the unusual position of favorite. We’ll see how they
handle the
pressure. (7, 8, 7, 6, 3, 5)
#8
(11) Miami, FL (5-1): The ‘Canes have already
dealt with their toughest opponents. Their toughest task now is staying
focused
and being able to win away from the Sunshine State. Their only game outside
of Florida was also their lone loss
at
Virginia Tech 31-7. They are probably overrated at this point, but will
probably be favored to win against every team remaining on their
schedule. (8,
9, 10, 10, 9, 9)
#9 (12) USC (5-1): Their third road
win over a quality opponent has a lot of people trumpeting them for a
shot at
the BCS title. I’m still not sure they can finish the Pac-10 schedule
unscathed
and make it a real issue. Their first trip to the Pacific Northwest produced a loss at Washington and the team hasn’t won
in the
state of Oregon for several seasons now.
The way
the Ducks are playing at the moment I consider this a serious road
block to a
potential 11-1 finish. (4, 4, 4, 7, 8, 4)
#10 (13) LSU (5-1): A week off
probably did them a lot of good. It helps the Tigers focus on the fact
that
their goal of winning the SEC is still in their hands. Losing to Florida was a major
disappointment, but
winning at Alabama could force a rematch if
they win
out. Home games against Auburn and Tulane will help
them regain
some swagger heading into that one. (9, 10, 9, 9, 12, 12)
#11 (15) Georgia Tech (6-1): Until
now, everyone else has really disrespected this team. Beating Virginia
Tech
changed that perception in a hurry. The challenge now is avoiding a
letdown at
Virginia, a team they choked against last year. About the only thing
difficult
about their next four games is playing three of them on the road.
Amazingly, if
the Yellow Jackets, Hurricanes and Hokies all win out two teams likely
in the
top 10 or 12 are going to be shut out of playing for the ACC title. In
a
conference known for upsets don’t count on it happening. (11, 13, 13,
12, 10,
10)
#12
(16) Oregon (5-1): Their bye week allowed
Masoli to heal up, but might have lost them a little bit of momentum.
Their
defense has been on a serious roll allowing just 19 points in three
games. The
Ducks now stand as the only undefeated team in Pac-10 play. However,
the two
winless Pac-10 teams (UCLA, Washington State) are now behind them.
USC, along
with a handful of other capable opponents in conference, are ahead of
them.
(12, 14, 12, 11, 7, 11)
#13
(18) Penn State (6-1): The defense made star Minnesota wide receiver Eric
Decker nearly
invisible in a shutout win. In their five best efforts this season the
Nittany
Lions have allowed a total of 23 points. Unfortunately all of those
teams prior
to the Gophers were terrible. Putting away their nemesis Michigan at the Big House this
week will be
their biggest win of the season and that speaks volumes. (13, 11, 11,
13, 16,
15)
#14 (19) BYU (6-1): It seems so
arbitrary pushing the Cougars up the rankings for beating up the worst
teams in
the MWC, but this week against TCU they will have a chance to prove
their worth
on the field. Their once huge win against Oklahoma might seem less
impressive now that
the Sooners are 3-3. However, let’s remember they won 14-13 on a
“neutral”
field geographically a lot closer to OU and had to deal with a healthy
Sam
Bradford for the first half. Texas just won 16-13 on a
truly neutral
field and went against Landry Jones almost the whole game. (16, 16, 16,
16, W, 14)
#15
(20) Houston (5-1): I think right now everyone
is treating their blowout loss at UTEP as a mulligan. It was good to
see them
swamp Tulane 44-16, but BYU beat the Green Wave 54-3 a few weeks ago.
Worse
yet, the Cougars led 9-6 at halftime. There is not much left to do
against a
Conference USA schedule other than winning big and hoping the BCS teams
they
beat (Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Mississippi State) can pile up
victories.
(17, 18, 18, 17, 14, 16)
#16
(21) Oklahoma State (5-1): For the time being the
Cowboys are weathering the storm of losing standout wide receiver Dez
Bryant.
They rallied from a 17-14 deficit against Missouri, scoring the game’s
final 19 points
to stay very much alive as a dark horse candidate to win the Big XII
North. It
remains to be seen if Halloween against Texas will be a trick or treat
affair,
but I’m impressed they have held it together with such a glaring
distraction
hanging over their heads. (14, 12, 14, 15, 15, 17)
#17
(10) South Florida (5-1): The October schedule gave
the Bulls an opportunity to grab the Big East by the throat. In the
first of
three consecutive big games, however, they swung and missed. Cincinnati took it to them on their
own turf
while a national television audience watched. It was a disheartening,
deflating
loss. B.J. Daniels couldn’t quite help the offense cash in. Six drives
totaling
241 yards produced 0 points. A couple extra days to recover should help
them
prepare for an equally important trip to Pittsburgh. (28, 27, 24, NR, W, 32)
#18
(25) West Virginia (5-1): This is probably too high
for the Mountaineers, but they are still very dangerous in the Big
East.
Winning against Marshall is no big deal unless
you take into
account playing a green quarterback and still dousing a previously 4-2
team
convincingly 24-7. This week is a huge turning point against Connecticut because the Huskies will
be
fighting on for a lost teammate and Brown might not be ready at
quarterback.
(22, 22, 23, 23, W, 22)
#19 (9) Virginia Tech (5-2): When I
did my predictions last week I was surprised to see almost everyone
picking the
Hokies at Georgia Tech. I not only picked the Yellow Jackets, I nearly
got the
score dead on (24-23 pick, 28-23 actual). No one is going to run the
table in
the wild ACC right? I also got chided by a reader for saying it was
“par for
the course” whipping Boston College which I meant to reflect Virginia
Tech’s
overall performance inside the conference, not specifically against the
Eagles.
At any rate, this week’s loss makes the Coastal race very, very
interesting.
(15, 15, 15, 14, 13, 13)
#20 (34) Texas Tech (5-2): Upon
further review, maybe the Red Raiders are legit. Their defense shut
down Nebraska and the offense was
efficient if
nothing else. It’s tough to score 31 points while falling short of 300
yards.
Is it unreasonable to expect them to at least compete with visiting Oklahoma in their weakened state
later this
season? How about winning at currently vulnerable Oklahoma State? I’m just saying it’s
possible for
this team to bear down and wind up 9-3 or 10-2. (21, 24, 22, NR, 17, 19)
#21
(31) Pittsburgh (6-1): I really thought the
Panthers would be lost without “Shady” McCoy. Dion Lewis has everyone
forgetting about the man who now backs up Brian Westbrook with the
Philadelphia
Eagles. He is second in the nation with 918 yards, and like McCoy gives
them a
chance to win every game assuming the defense holds up. We might not
know until
the Backyard Brawl at West Virginia just how far he can take
them, but
at the moment Pitt is doing just fine. (20, 19, 20, 20, 24, 21)
#22
(27) Michigan (5-2): I’ve got no problem
overrating the Wolverines this week in advance of their showdown with Penn State. The loser could drop
precipitously
if the outcome is decisive. Michigan blasted Delaware State this week to get ready
and can be a
spoiler in the Big Ten title chase. (30, 35, 30, NR, W, 34)
#23
(30) Utah (5-1): Another week, another win
for the Utes. More importantly after two road wins they are hope for
three in a
row. Knocking down those bowling pins puts them in position at 8-1 when
a trip
to TCU comes up on the schedule. If the Horned Frogs also keep winning
it could
be a battle of Top 10 teams. Until then there isn’t much else to talk
about.
(19, 20, 19, 18, W, 18)
#24
(35) Arizona (4-2): I guess the Wildcats stole
one back. They were as good as dead against Stanford down 38-29 facing
a team
with a finisher at running back. Then, in a game where both
quarterbacks threw
for over 400 yards Nic Grigsby won the game with a scamper 57 yards to
the
house. With the conference doormats (UCLA, Washington State) coming to their stadium
next you
will see Arizona ranked in the “real”
polls very
soon. (32, 41, 37, 22, 18, 20)
#25
(17) Nebraska (4-2): Things went from optimistic
to uncertain in the blink of an eye for the Cornhuskers. Their 31-10
loss to
Texas Tech wasn’t as bad as it looked. The difference was finishing
drives.
Every drive over 17 yards for the Red Raiders, four in all, ended in
points and
three resulted in touchdowns. Nebraska couldn’t match that
which explains
why while neither team mustered 300 yards of total offense one team
wound up an
easy winner. As I said, this isn’t a crushing blow to their North title
hopes
but it does remove their margin of error. (29, 28, 29, NR, W, 26)
#26
(14) Ohio State (5-2): As you can see to the left
I
had the Buckeyes #14 before they were embarrassed at Purdue. That
ranking
reflects a good team, not the elite team from recent seasons. Let’s
face it Ohio State lost a ton of offensive
talent
around Pryor. Not many offenses can survive losing a lead rusher
capable of
carrying the team on his back plus a pair of star wide receivers. Given
their
November schedule (at Penn State, vs. Iowa, at Michigan) we might be looking at
an 8-4
team. (18, 17, 17, 19, 22, 23)
#27 (23) South Carolina (5-2): After
losing another big road game the Gamecocks continue to be just good
enough to
be dangerous and just bad enough not to play for a title of any sort. I
still
feel like they can make life uncomfortable for Florida, at home, in a few
weeks. Their
last two road games (Tennessee, Arkansas) lead up to that after
this week’s
presumed win over hapless Vanderbilt. If they shake the road blues and
get to
8-2 the hype will be epic for the ‘ol ball coach trying to undo the new
ball
coach. (23, 23, 26, 24, 21, 24)
#28
(8) Kansas (5-1): It was pretty much
inevitable. The Jayhawks played a soft schedule and while they can
score their
defense is suspect. On the road against a so-so Colorado team playing inspired
behind a new
quarterback the perfect record went up in smoke. There is really no
time to
recover with Oklahoma coming in this week and
a trip to
Texas Tech after that. Before all is said and done getting to 8-4 will
be
tough. (24, 21, 21, 25, W, 31)
#29 (26) Notre Dame (4-2): What do I
do with the Irish? Right now I feel like both of their losses were
against good
teams, Michigan and of course this past
week
against USC. Their comeback against the Trojans can’t be overlooked.
Being in
position to force OT, at home, is not where they really want to be no
matter
what head coach Charlie Weis says. This team wants to contend for BCS
hardware,
not just make it close. Anyone chalking them up for an easy 10-2 record
has to
realize trips to Pittsburgh and Stanford are still
left. (26,
30, 28, NR, 20, 30)
#30 (22) Wisconsin (5-2): The
Badgers showed well at Ohio State and this past week against Iowa, but
the
bottom line is a pair of losses. Their goal now entering a bye is to
regroup
for the stretch run. This can easily be a 9-3 season, possibly 10-2 if
they can
beat Michigan at home. None of the
teams
remaining on their schedule are ahead of them in the Big Ten and the
finale at Hawaii doesn’t look as
dangerous as years
past. (38, 32, 39, 21, 23, 28)
#31
(NR) Boston College (5-2): I keep wanting to
bury the Eagles. Then they go out and trash N.C. State 52-20. You know them as
the team
that lost a 7-3 struggle to South Carolina and beat Pittsburgh. It’s impossible to
measure heart
and BC has got it. If you can pick a favorite in the ACC Atlantic I
would love
to hear the argument. This week they step out to visit Notre Dame, a
great
litmus test for my rankings if nothing else. (41, 31, 33, NR, W, 29)
#32
(NR) Mississippi (4-2): It is difficult to put them
back into the rankings based on wasting UAB 48-13. However, they can
prove
worthy of the spot with wins over Arkansas and at Auburn the next two weeks.
There is enough
talent on this team to finish in the top 25 now that unreasonable
expectations
have gone out the window. (27, 25, 27, NR, NR, 33)
#33
(NR) Central Michigan (6-1): Well, this is embarrassing.
If you think the Chips get overlooked, the evidence showed up in this
space
last week. Two weeks ago I had them ranked and, after a win, I
neglected to
include them in my rankings. My bad and I’m correcting it now hoping
they can
continue marching through the MAC. I have worried about a schedule
loaded with
road games wrecking them, but here they are 3-1 with two more (Bowling Green, Boston College) on tap next. (31, 29,
31, NR, NR,
35)
#34 (NR) California (4-2): Apparently all it took for
this team to get well was a drop in competition. After rolling past
UCLA in
SoCal the Golden Bears host the clear cut worst team in the Pac-10
Washington
State. One reason this offense struggles is pretty simple and I wonder
why more
analysts don’t see it. Best is a big play threat. When he fails to hit
big
plays they are sunk. Sure, he had 153 total yards against the Bruins.
Other than
his touchdown run of 93 yards and scoring reception of 51 yards he had
18
touches for 9 yards. Ouch? Riley had 134 yards on 10/19 passing when
discounting four completions to Best and Vereen. (33, 40, 34, NR, 19,
36)
#35
(NR) Idaho (6-1): I really have no idea how
the Vandals keep winning. Three of their wins are by a total of 9
points. Their
loss was at Washington, a sin USC has been
forgiven for.
Even if the competition has been weak in the WAC they have 3 road wins
and any
victory away from home is tough. How long they can keep it up remains
to be
seen, and quite frankly I’m expecting a loss at Nevada this week. (39, 38, 36,
NR, NR, 60)
DROPPED OUT:
Last week (24) Auburn (5-2): Remember when
this team was
5-0? Two losses to very average SEC teams later the Tigers are reeling
with a
trip to Death Valley up next. If they can’t
handle Arkansas or Kentucky how is it going to go at
LSU? Not
well I’m sure. (40, 39, 38, NR, 25, 40)
Last week (26) Missouri (4-2): After a pair of
losses to
open Big XII play it sure seems like the Tigers are a big tease.
Looking back
on their season, smoking Illinois in the opener is no
longer a big
deal considering the Illini are 1-5. They beat Nevada, but so did Colorado State. It remains to be seen
if Mizzou
can rebound and be a factor in the chase for the North. As of now they
have
proven nothing. (36, 36, 35, NR, W, 39)
Last week (29) Oklahoma (3-3): No matter how
rough their
schedule has been, they are a .500 team without a single solid win.
Their
season will always be remembered for Sam Bradford getting injured, but
you
can’t tell me other players stepping up would not have turned around
three
losses by a total of 5 points. There are a lot of guys suiting up for
the
Sooners and collectively they’re just not good enough thus far with or
without Bradford. (25, 26, 25, NR, NR, 27)
Last week (32) Rutgers (5-2): They probably
showed more in
a close loss to Pittsburgh than any of their five
wins, but
it’s still a loss. Their biggest win to date is over currently 2-5 Maryland. Four of their next five
games will
be on the road. In other words, it might be somewhat downhill from here
for the
Scarlet Knights. (NR, 44, NR, NR, NR, 56)
Last week (33) Tulsa (4-2): It was a good
showing
against Boise State, but not as close as the
28-21
final score indicates. They never had the ball with the lead after the
first
quarter and with the game on the line never got into enemy territory
with the
ball. Worse yet, as I write this on Wednesday (curse the early games!)
they
have lost again at UTEP. (NR, NR, NR, NR, NR, 61)
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