Power Rankings. All
the major websites including this one have one. As
a rabid fan, I have my favorite sites
for finding where my favorite
teams rank that week, and I visit them religiously.
Currently the Steelers are ranked
anywhere
from 13-16 based on their 1-2 record. Most
sites have the Colts number one
though I saw a site with the
Bengals number one. As much as I like
the little blurbs of analysis which always come with each team’s
ranking, I’m
beginning to see the frivolity of these rankings. The
problem is that early in the season
anyway, there is such a small sample of games to analyze.
It is like trying to find the new
miracle
drug using 3 laboratory mice. For
example, after the first game this season, I saw a ranking which put
the Ravens
at number one thanks to their walloping of one of the preseason
favorites, the
Buccaneers. The Ravens are probably an
improved team just due to the fact that Kyle Boller is no longer
starting, but
they have problems beyond their quarterback and certainly are not one
of the
best teams in the league. They are 3-0,
but the combined record of their opponents is 0-8.
I was thinking about this
last year while watching the
Patriots struggle through the early part of their schedule. My favorite teams are the Steelers and
whoever is playing the Patriots that week (Patriots vs. Bengals this
week is a
win/win for me), so I usually revel in Patriot losses.
In the back of my mind though, I knew
that it
really didn’t matter. This team would
find a way to put it together in the end of the year when it really
mattered, which is exactly what they
did and almost made it to the Super Bowl again. The
Steelers were the same. Given
up for dead at midseason, they put together the run which concluded in
the
championship.
I remember listening to
sports talk radio back in April
waiting for some NFL draft news and having to slog though all the talk
about
baseball. Back then, the Red Sox had
just swept the Yankees (or something like that. Does
it really matter? It’s just
baseball.) Anyway, they were all talking
about how the Yankees were finished and what would they do next year. Maybe they just needed something to talk
about, but I was thinking how ridiculous the whole discussion was. Baseball has 162 games, so who cares what
happens in the beginning of the season. Since
the NFL has only 16 games, each
game is almost exactly 10 times as
important, which in my mind makes football that much better than
baseball. In the NFL, every game is huge,
right? For the most part, this is true,
but I’m
starting to think that the early part of the NFL season matters little
as long
as the team can mentally get it together for the final stretch drive to
the
playoffs and beyond. In fact, I think
this is a better way to go. Last year,
the Steelers had to win and so were in playoff mode for the last six
regular
season games. They won those and carried
that momentum into the playoffs. Bill
Belichick saw this, which is why he basically threw their last game
against the
Dolphins to avoid the Steelers. The
Steelers may or may not have been the best team last year, but they
certainly
played well when it mattered most.
It works the other way as
well. The Colts topped everyone’s power
rankings
all season last year. They went 13-0
before finally losing to San Diego. They clinched their playoff berth so early
that when they finally had to actually play, they were not mentally
ready to do
so. The Steelers ended up grinding them
into the RCA dome turf, though they almost lost due to a blown call and
a late
Bettis fumble. Basically every team in
which there is a discussion about an undefeated season does poorly in
the post
season. Before the Colts last year, the
2003 Chiefs made Nick Buonocontti and the rest of the 1972 Dolphins
sweat,
before finally losing and then exited early from the playoffs. That same year, the Vikings started off
6-0
and were near the top of all the power rankings, but ended up missing
the
playoffs. It is rare for a team to
dominate throughout the season and win the Super Bowl.
The last team that did it was the 2004
Patriots, and they were a bit under the radar because of the great
season Pittsburgh
was having. The 2003 Patriots started
off 0-2 and everyone was writing them off, before they won their second
championship.
My point to all this is
that, as difficult as it is to
watch, I would like to see my team lose sometime early in the season. Get the losses out of the way, and have your
players read and hear about how their season is over and who is over
the hill.
This of course assumes that you have some actual talent on your team,
and no
debilitating injuries. Then when the
games really count, your team will be like a caged, hungry animal. Let the Colts have their glory, then release
the Beast.