167) Dallas (via Miami) – FB Peyton
Hillis (Arkansas)
This is
one of those picks that just makes sense to me. Hillis
was all over the place for the
Razorbacks and would be a nice spark on offense. Yes, it’s more popular
to
assume the Cowboys will take one of the running backs he blocked for
(Darren
McFadden and Felix Jones) but having that on his resume makes him
pretty
valuable. Plus, Jerry gets a ‘Hog after all.
168) St.
Louis – RB Mike Hart (Michigan)
Steven
Jackson is their lead back without question. Rookies Brian Leonard
(fullback) and Antonio Pittman (picked up when New Orleans
dropped him)
provided 124 carries in relief last year. It wasn’t very effective. In
fact if
you throw out each player’s long run their combined average rush was a
mere
3.02 yards. In Hart they get a high character player. He was snail slow at the combine while
other backs burned up the track and also refused to run at his pro day
which
hurts his value. It doesn’t help that he lost a pair of fumbles on what
would
have been touchdowns in the Capital One Bowl even though he had no
prior
problems fumbling. Durability is another concern after he missed three
games
this season, but when he was in there he also had games with 35, 44, 30
and 32
carries.
169) Oakland – OLB Wesley
Woodyard (Kentucky)
Kirk
Morrison and Thomas Howard comprise a formidable inside/outside duo
in the Raider defense. If this team was any good they’d be getting a
lot more
attention. However, local product Sam Williams has really struggled to
stay
healthy and make an impact on the outside. Robert Thomas was signed in
2006 and
has done an adequate job while Jon Alston joined the team this year
after St. Louis gave up on
him. They are hoping for someone with a little “umph” to join their
dynamic
duo. In Woodyard they get
great speed (4.5 40) and a whopping 9.76 tackles per game over his last
three
seasons with the Wildcats, the last two of which he led the SEC. He’s a
great athlete who competed for the track team in the 400 meter hurdles.
Anyone
who follows the sport knows that is one of the most physically
demanding
events.
170) Minnesota
(via Kansas City) – WR Darius Reynaud (West Virginia)
After adding
Berrian they should be set for starting receivers, but can afford to
take a
shot at a backup here. A one year “commitment” to frequently injured
Robert Ferguson opens the door for another addition.
171) NY Jets –
FS Jonathan Hefney (Tennessee)
Erik
Coleman has taken
his game to Atlanta and being in a division with New England they need
to keep
their secondary loaded up.Hefney has seen a drop in his stock because
there are
taller Oompa Loompas. However, he is an experienced defender coming out
of the
SEC with 51 games under his belt and 10 interceptions.
172) Atlanta – FB Jacob Hester
(LSU)
The
Falcons need help
everywhere. Hester is one of those guys who just finds a way to
contribute. He
can provide a few rushes per game, block a little bit and catch some
passes.
173) Baltimore – RB Allen Patrick (Oklahoma)
Their
depth behind
Willis McGahee is basically nil. He’s not going to replace McGahee if
he gets
hurt, but is certainly capable of providing 15-18 rushes per game in
that
situation. Mainly they are looking for someone to keep McGahee fresh.
174) San
Francisco – OT Brandon Keith (Northern Iowa)
Their
four quarterbacks
were sacked 55 times, tied for most in the NFL. Kwame Harris ended a
disappointing tenure by leaving in free agency. Joe Staley is the new
left
tackle as the oft-injured and broken down Jonas Jennings has shifted to
the
right side. They might be able to trade down a few spots before
selecting him,
but waiting until their pick at #75 is a bad idea.
175) Chicago –
P Durant Brooks (Georgia Tech)
Punters
can pretty much
go on forever, but Brad Maynard has been fairly mediocre. They might
want
someone with a more powerful leg and this is by far the best prospect
in the
class.
176) Detroit –
DT Nick Hayden (Wisconsin)
Shaun Rogers has been
dealt to Cleveland, and left a big hole in the middle that isn’t
likely to be filled by any rookie addition. That’s why they signed Chuck
Darby and will add another player here. The Lions haven’t been ranked
higher
than #15 in total run defense since people were worried about the Y2K
bug.
177)
Cincinnati – CB Jonathan Zenon
(LSU)
They’ve
got some youth at cornerback, but were also #26 in pass defense last
year. Zenon
played in the shadow of Chevis Jackson for the Tigers, but had a great
pro day
and should be garnering more attention from it given that every NFL
team was in
attendance.
178) New
Orleans – OLB Stanford Keglar (Purdue)
At inside
linebacker
they improved by trading for Jonathan Vilma (Jets) and signing Dan
Morgan
(Panthers). If Morgan can ever get healthy he could slide to the weak
side.
Irrespective of that their outside play could use a shot in the arm.
Rivers was
outstanding at USC’s pro day and can be a playmaker on a defense that
desperately needs one. The cornerback signings of Randall Gay (starter)
and
Aaron Glenn (nickel/dime) give them the flexibility to wait on
selecting youth
for the secondary.
179) Buffalo –
C Cody Wallace (Texas A&M)
The Bills
need have a
lot of youth on their offensive line, but could use some competition at
center.
180) St.
Louis (via Denver) – QB Kevin O’Connell (San Diego State)
Marc
Bulger just signed
a long term deal so his job is safe. However, there are legitimate
questions
surrounding his durability. In six seasons as their starter he has
played an
average of 13 games. When your quarterback misses 3 games per season it’s a
good idea to have a reliable backup. Concussion prone free agent Trent
Green
has been added for insurance, but while it was a three year deal at 38 I’m not
sure he can last that long even as a backup.
181) Carolina
– DT Letroy Guion (Florida
State)
Damione
Lewis just
signed a three year deal, but Kris Jenkins was traded to the Jets. It
was a
smart move because playing the last two full seasons raised his value
up
following his 2004-2005 stretch of playing just 5 games. They are going
to need
someone to fill the empty spot on the depth chart if he is dealt.
Character
issues knock at least a round off his value.
182) Kansas
City (via Minnesota)
– RB Justin Forsett (California)
The
Chiefs can do a lot of things in this draft with their stack of
chips. Larry Johnson obviously is carrying too much of a load. Forsett’s
size puts a limit on
his value in the NFL, but he has impressed in workouts. He should be a
nice
change of pace back. Kolby Smith
was only mildly successful filling in for LJ last year. Aside from
tearing up a
bad Raider defense (150 yards) Smith averaged just 3.17 yards per carry
183) Denver (via Houston) – K Art Carmody (Louisville)
Jason
Elam has left for Atlanta. The highest scoring kicker in NCAA
history might be a good place to look for his replacement
184)
Philadelphia – CB Jack Ikegwuono
(Wisconsin)
With
Asante Samuel added
in free agency cornerback is no longer a strong need in the early
rounds, but
with Lito Sheppard expected to be shipped out they will need another
backup
addition. First Ikegwuono suffers an unfortunate knee injury, that’s
just bad
luck. Then word come out he was arrested for trying to steal an XBOX.
Wait a
minute. He wasn’t fast enough to get away? What’s his 40 time again?
What a
crazy situation. For the Eagles it’s a low risk selection.
185) Arizona – WR Adarius Bowman (Oklahoma State)
The
future of Larry
Fitzgerald has been decided, but Bryant Johnson is gone. Steve Breaston
might
be able to compete for the #3 role, but it doesn’t hurt to add
competition. There is also some doubt as to whether or not they can
lock up
Anquan Boldin long term after paying Fitzgerald. Bowman’s stock has dipped due
to a lack of speed. He can still be a nice possession receiver and was
productive with two seasons over 1,000 yards.
186)
Washington – CB Jonathan Wilhite (Auburn)
They have
more needs than
picks they can address early. Cornerback is an issue because Shawn Springs is
getting to the point where his level
of play (and age) makes him worth less than he’s scheduled to earn.
Carlos Rogers ended the year on IR and isn’t expected to start the
season, not to mention the unspeakable loss of safety Sean Taylor. Jackson is a
former teammate of last year’s
first round pick LaRon Landry, now a starting safety.
187) Kansas
City (via Tampa Bay) – TE Gary Barnidge
(Louisville)
They’re
not going to replace Tony Gonzalez with this pick, but he joins backup
Jason
Dunn in the well past 30 years old club.
188)
Pittsburgh – OLB Gary Guyton
(Georgia Tech)
The
Steelers might have
missed on Lawrence Timmons out of Florida State last year. I expect
them to be
looking at the best available linebacker here.
189) Seattle (via Tennessee) – C Kory
Lichtensteiger (Bowling
Green)
Strictly
a backup, and
again their offensive line was horrific.
190)
Cleveland (via Seattle) – OG Adam Kraus (Michigan)
With as
much money as
they’ve
invested in their quarterbacks it’s a good idea to keep the line well
stocked although they did add one young player in Rex Hadnot and an old
one in
Lennie Friedman.
191)
Philadelphia – TE Joey Haynos
(Maryland)
The
Eagles can basically
pick their spots to get help all over the place unless they trade some
of their
other picks. Putting the franchise tag on L.J. Smith is not a guarantee
he will
sign a long term deal with the team. If they choose not to lock him up
this
before the season this would be some insurance. Haynos seems to me like
the
kind of guy who can be molded into a pretty good player.
192) San Diego
– RB Xavier
Omon (Northwest Missouri State)
They need
a new second
string running back to replace Michael Turner. Omon is a power runner
coming
off rushing for 2,337 yards to lead Division II. As they say there is a
lot of
tread on his tires (1,271 carries) but he piled up 7,755 total yards
and scored
98 touchdowns. Backing up Tomlinson will seem like a vacation to him.
193)
Minnesota (via Jacksonville) – SS Jamie Silva
(Boston College)
At free
safety Dwight
Smith was replaced by Madieu Williams (Bengals) but that doesn’t
solve all their safety issues. Darren Sharper is nearing the end of a
great
career and turns 33 during the season. They picked up Michael Boulware
(Seahawks) but will likely take a shot at a long term replacement. He
can soak
up Sharper’s knowledge.
194) NY
Giants (via Green Bay) – CB Dwight Lowery (San Jose State)
They had
a mostly good
year defensively, but the teams who gave them problems in the regular
season
all came at them passing the ball down the field. Fortunately for them
their
killer pass rush made it less of a factor in their Super Bowl run,
notably in
the big game. Gibril Wilson’s vacated spot at free safety is being
filled temporarily by veteran Sammy Knight. At corner Sam Madison and
R.W.
McQuarters won’t
be around much longer and only Aaron
Ross looks capable of being a starter at the moment although Corey
Webster had
a great playoff run. They can’t be short handed when facing a team like
Dallas twice a
year or if they want to repeat
as Super Bowl champs against Indianapolis or New England. Here they catch a falling prospect.
195) Miami
(via Dallas) – ILB/OLB Jo-Lonn Dunbar (Boston College)
The
Dolphins are
switching to a 3-4 as soon as they can assemble the parts. They traded
for
Jason Ferguson and signed Randy Starks at tackle. Jason Taylor is
dancing his
way out of town and Zach Thomas signed in Dallas after
being cut. Joey Porter might be
wearing another uniform soon too.
196) Indianapolis – RB Anthony Alridge (Houston)
Joseph
Addai is their
feature back. Kenton Keith for the time being is their backup assuming
he can
stay out of trouble. However, Addai was dismal in the second half of
the season
and playoff loss to the Chargers, averaging just 45.7 yards per game.
If he had
a better backfield mate then his carries would be closer to 16-19 early
in the
season (the first 9 he averaged 21.3) which might keep him fresh when
he is
needed most. This gives the team a third option plus a player they can
split
out wide and use in the return game with his mid-4.3 speed. He is the
kind of
weapon opponents will cringes to see Indy add in the draft.
197) New England – OT/OG Pedro
Sosa (Rutgers)
They won
18 games and
sent three linemen to Hawaii. Their line also got worked over in the Super Bowl by the
Giants. It’s not
as if Kaczur and O’Callaghan
are horrible on the right side,
but this sets them up really well for the future. It also potentially
prevents
teams in 2008 with talented pass rushers from duplicating New York’s
game plan against them. Sosa is a guy they can plug into any spot on
the line.
198) NY
Giants – OT/OG Mike Gibson (California)
The
Giants are likely to approach a team in the 160’s who is willing to
take their two picks in the 190’s where they have three, one they have
to keep.
I always say
the later
rounds are a good time to fill up on linemen. Gibson comes from a Cal program
that quietly has produced some
effective offensive linemen including current Patriot Ryan O’Callaghan.
If he
doesn’t pan out at tackle they can use him at guard.
199) NY
Giants (compensatory) – C Doug Legursky (Marshall)
There are not a ton of holes on this team and they might take another
shot on
the offensive line.
200) Philadelphia (compensatory) – K Taylor
Mehlhaff (Wisconsin)
David Akers was one of the league’s premier kickers from 2000-2004
while the
Eagles were dominating the NFC. During that stretch he converted 85.5%
of his
field goals. In the three seasons since he has hit mediocrity in a
hurry while
making good on just 75.3%. He is also coming off a season in which he
was a
horrific 2/10 from 40+ yards.
201)
Indianapolis (compensatory) – ILB/OLB Spencer
Larsen (Arizona)
The Colts
are another
team who will likely be using late picks as part of a package to trade
up
because they want more quality than quantity. It will be hard for
anyone taken
this late in the draft to make their roster. Unless of course that
player can
work special teams which fits Larsen.
202) Indianapolis (compensatory) –
SS D.J. Wolfe (Oklahoma)
Bob Sanders is always banged up and a little depth never hurt.
203) Philadelphia
(compensatory) – DE Chris Harrington
(Texas A&M)
“The
Freak”
has been cut and replaced by Chris Clemons who had one good season with
the
Raiders. Backup Darren Howard is into his 30’s though and the Eagles
will be
looking for another option.
204) Miami
(compensatory) – TE Darrell Strong
(Pittsburgh)
Their leading tight end David Martin came over from Green Bay.
Ironically, that’s
where their former draft pick Donald Lee wound up. These are the kind
of
exchanges that happen when your team is not going well. After losing
Randy
McMichael the Dolphins need a receiving threat at tight end. Parcells
would
love to find himself another “Rambo” in this draft, but the closest
thing
available might be an early selection of Notre Dame’s John Carlson as
Bavaro
also played for the Irish. Otherwise he’ll go bargain hunting for help.
205) Indianapolis (compensatory) – WR D.J. Hall
(Alabama)
One more pick? Really? WR They could use a receiver because at times I
needed a
program to find out who Peyton had at his disposal. Reggie Wayne is a
top shelf
#1 and Anthony Gonzalez had a pretty successful rookie year, especially
down
the stretch when over his final 6 games (including the playoff loss) he
averaged 74.7 yards receiving with 4 touchdowns. Marvin Harrison is
looking
like his career will be over pretty soon. Hall has suspensions on his
resume so
we’ll see if Dungy can straighten him out. It’s certainly possible the
Colts
address this earlier and I expect them to package their
non-compensatory picks
to move north once or twice.
206) Baltimore (compensatory) –
DT Carlton Powell (Virginia Tech)
The Ravens need some depth for their defensive line.
207) Cincinnati (compensatory) –
TE Joe Jon Finley (Oklahoma)
Adding
Ben Utecht
(Colts) solved their dire need for a receiving tight end. Now they add
a player
eager to contribute who has upside.