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The
Thanksgiving Day tradition started way back in 1920 when
six games were played. On that day six teams failed to score including
a
scoreless contest between Elyria
and Columbus. I don’t
think they
are around anymore although the 49ers can commiserate. In 1923 the
Chicago
Bears and Green Bay Packers each hosted games, winning by shutout no
less. The
Bears beat their rival Chicago Cardinals in that one. In 1926 the New
York
Giants first appeared, but it was on the road as they beat the Brooklyn
Lions –
in a shutout 17-0. Then in 1934 the Detroit Lions hosted their first
game, a
19-16 loss to the Bears. The Dallas Cowboys first hosted in 1966 when
they beat
the Cleveland Browns 1966. Enough history, let’s talk 2007 and suffice
it to
say you should plan on watching football early and eating late.
Green Bay (9-1) @
Detroit (6-4): No one expected the Packers to be in position to
essentially
seal the NFC North on Thanksgiving. With a four game lead they would
then just
need to beat the Lions again on their frozen field December 30th
to
secure the title. Sweeping Detroit
to win a division title? If you had told Favre he’d be in that position
he
would take it and run, just not very fast because the guy’s old. His
opposite
number Kitna might be feeling the pressure of his 10 win prediction. In
the
wake of their second consecutive loss he got in a war of words with
Michael
Strahan. I like his fire, but throw some touchdown passes. He has just
five in
his last six games while the team is 3-3. The yardage has been there
with 298
yards on average in the last month. Green Bay’s
pass defense has been pretty good, holding opposing quarterbacks to a
78.7
rating (#12 in the NFL). However, many of these teams had a much weaker
passing
attack. The Lions will come at them four wide all afternoon. They
average 36.5
passes a game and I expect well over 40 in this one. Since the Packers
have had
issues running the ball it could be an aerial show. Favre’s dome
struggles are
long gone. His last three indoors have all produced 340+ yards passing
with a
completion percentage of 65.9%, 7 touchdowns and no interceptions. He
has won
his last four air conditioned games. While everyone is stuffing their
face, the
defenses in this game will see their numbers get fat in a shootout. Green
Bay can run more now that Ryan Grant has emerged
with
19+ carries in each of their last four games, but the Lions can and
will
contain him. Only one team has more interceptions than Detroit’s
15 which could produce a game changing play. Thanksgiving Day brings a
lot of
emotion to this team although they have lost three in a row and four of
their
past five on turkey day. The last win was 22-14 in 2003 over these
Packers.
This will be an inspired win: Detroit 30, Green Bay 24
NY
Jets (2-8) @
Dallas (9-1): It has been over two decades since New
York has played on Thanksgiving, a 31-20 loss
to Detroit
in 1985. It will be their third appearance having lost again to the
Lions back
in 1973. The host Cowboys are a mortal 7-7 since 1993. Romo certainly
didn’t
play like a turkey last year, throwing for 306 yards and 5 touchdowns
on 22/29
passing. Having thrown 8 touchdowns total the prior six times he hit
the field
this was clearly his breakout performance for the nation to see. It
wound up
being his only 3+ TD effort that season, something he has already
accomplished
five times this season including his past three games. The Jets simply
can’t
stop him or the Dallas
offense.
They have allowed the third highest QB rating (93.7) and seventh
highest
completion percentage (64.9%). Last week’s win over Pittsburgh
was the product of stuffing the run. They were rested off the bye and
played an
inspired game in front of their fans. This is a short week on the road.
The
Jets will be tired and had 2-8 won’t have much to fight for once they
fall
behind. If the Cowboys want to run, New York
has allowed 4.3 yards per rush, eighth highest in the NFL. Barber has
been
bottled up a bit lately, but combined with Jones they provide offensive
balance. This team can come out you with multiple running backs plus
the best
wide receiver/tight end combination in the NFC. This isn’t a matter of
winning.
It is how much the Cowboys decide to pour it on. They will not take New
York lightly after they beat Pittsburgh.
It should be a first quarter knockout and there won’t be a need to eat
in front
of the television: Dallas 31, NY Jets 13
Indianapolis (8-2) @
Atlanta (3-7): This was
supposed to be a battle of quarterbacks taken #1 overall. Instead Vick
turned
out to be a turkey and will watch the game from a jail cell after
turning
himself in to authorities as he faces dog fighting charges. With the
addition
of a third Thanksgiving Day game we get two teams who usually don’t
play on
this day right? Not exactly because the Colts just whooped Detroit
41-9 in 2004 while the Falcons took their turn with a 27-7 win over the
Lions
in 2005. Indianapolis
hadn’t
appeared on Thanksgiving prior to that since tying Detroit
24-24 when they hailed from Baltimore,
their only other appearance. The Falcons had never appeared previously
and
obviously will be hosting for the first time. Well, maybe it’s not so
obvious
because prior to 1970 it wasn’t just Detroit
and Dallas hosting games.
Prior to
the merger the AFL also had two games on the docket. I digress because
the
outcome of this one is an afterthought. The Colts are sputtering.
Perhaps the
team suffered a collective concussion in their heavyweight bout against
the
Patriots. Both of these defenses can contain the pass, but Manning is
smart
enough to stay away from DeAngelo Hall and find the open man. Even
without Vick
we have three first round picks at the position. Atlanta
just has to figure out whether to go with Harrington or Leftwich. They
combined
to go 31/48 for 255 yards last week with a Harrington touchdown and two
Leftwich
interceptions. Michael Jenkins had a nice showing with 73 yards, seven
off his
career high which shows how disappointing he has been. The Falcons need
him to
slide into the #2 role opposite of emerging star Roddy White. Their
offense
gets a charge from Dunn who can still pile up the total yards, but the
Colts
will be ready. They are by far the better team and whatever momentum
the
Falcons had built up by beating San Francisco
and Carolina will be
forgotten by
halftime. Don’t miss dessert for this game: Indianapolis 34, Atlanta 14
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